# Chocolate Factory Simulator

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

- Steam appid: 2822370
- Developer: Games Incubator
- Released: 2025 · Genre: Action · List price: $19.99
- Deal grade: D (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $693 to $1.0k per month (mid $866)
- Opportunity score: $866/month at x1.00 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 11.2k · Est. lifetime net revenue: $74.9k
- Review sentiment: 77% positive across 477 reviews (349 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 5.2 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- Developer active, last post 2 months ago
- Studio active elsewhere (16 titles tracked), so this one may welcome a partner
- Last build shipped 13 months ago

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $1.6k |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $1.4k |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $1.2k |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $866 |

## Monthly review counts, oldest to newest (19 months)

194, 27, 13, 16, 4, 8, 11, 10, 11, 9, 16, 9, 2, 1, 6, 1, 0, 21, 2

## Markets by review language

- english: 57%
- schinese: 8%
- french: 7%
- german: 12%
- koreana: 3%
- russian: 5%
- spanish: 3%
- japanese: 3%
- brazilian: 3%

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier (Boxleiter method, 20-75x by year). Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/2822370
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when using these estimates.
