# Asteroid Drift

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

- Steam appid: 2860150
- Developer: Barry Herbers
- Publisher: Warder Games
- Released: 2024 · Genre: Indie · List price: $2.99
- Deal grade: B (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $146 to $219 per month (mid $182)
- Opportunity score: $346/month at x1.90 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 832 · Est. lifetime net revenue: $727
- Review sentiment: 100% positive across 29 reviews (26 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 8.3 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- Developer silent for 2.4 years
- Studio quiet across its whole catalog
- Last build shipped 28 months ago
- Store page localized in only 1 language(s)
- Last discounted 1 months ago, 1 sales in the last 12 months

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $331 |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $288 |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $260 |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $182 |

## Monthly review counts, oldest to newest (3 months)

23, 1, 1

## Missed seasonal-sale revenue (modeled)

Skipped 2 Steam seasonal sale window(s) in the last 3 months. Running a -50% discount in those windows is modeled at +$22 net in total, assuming a unit uplift of x3.0 (industry-typical for old catalog titles). Same ±30-50% error range applies.

## Estimated acquisition range

$4.4k to $8.7k (2-4x the trailing net annuity of $2.2k/year). Same error range applies.

## Markets by review language

- english: 100% (game NOT localized in this language)

Localization gap: 100% of measured reviews are written in languages the game does not support (top: english). Localizing is likely immediate market expansion.

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier (Boxleiter method, 20-75x by year). Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/2860150
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when using these estimates.