# UNDER DEFEAT

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

- Steam appid: 2869510
- Developer: CITY CONNECTION
- Released: 2025 · Genre: Action · List price: $19.99
- Deal grade: B (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $290 to $436 per month (mid $363)
- Opportunity score: $690/month at x1.90 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 2.6k · Est. lifetime net revenue: $17.4k
- Review sentiment: 95% positive across 87 reviews (81 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 2.2 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- No developer announcement on record, ever
- Studio active elsewhere (13 titles tracked), so this one may welcome a partner
- Last build shipped 19 months ago

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $659 |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $573 |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $519 |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $363 |

## Monthly review counts, oldest to newest (13 months)

43, 6, 5, 5, 4, 2, 3, 3, 2, 5, 1, 1, 1

## Estimated acquisition range

$8.7k to $17.4k (2-4x the trailing net annuity of $4.4k/year). Same error range applies.

## Markets by review language

- brazilian: 3% (game NOT localized in this language)
- french: 4%
- german: 1%
- english: 71%
- koreana: 5% (game NOT localized in this language)
- spanish: 3%
- japanese: 14%

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier (Boxleiter method, 20-75x by year). Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/2869510
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when using these estimates.