# ArkCraft: The Rebirth of the World

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

- Steam appid: 2869610
- Developer: ZD Yazilim
- Released: 2024 · Genre: Adventure · List price: $10.99
- Deal grade: B (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $182 to $273 per month (mid $228)
- Opportunity score: $307/month at x1.35 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 5.6k · Est. lifetime net revenue: $18.0k
- Review sentiment: 74% positive across 182 reviews (175 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 2.8 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- Developer silent for 20 months
- Studio quiet across its whole catalog
- Last build shipped 15 months ago
- Last discounted 1 months ago, 5 sales in the last 12 months

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $413 |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $359 |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $325 |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $228 |

## Monthly review counts, oldest to newest (21 months)

51, 32, 13, 11, 12, 9, 10, 2, 7, 4, 2, 3, 3, 3, 2, 2, 2, 5, 5, 1, 2

## Missed seasonal-sale revenue (modeled)

Skipped 7 Steam seasonal sale window(s) in the last 21 months. Running a -50% discount in those windows is modeled at +$3.9k net in total, assuming a unit uplift of x3.0 (industry-typical for old catalog titles). Same ±30-50% error range applies.

## Estimated acquisition range

$5.5k to $10.9k (2-4x the trailing net annuity of $2.7k/year). Same error range applies.

## Markets by review language

- french: 9%
- german: 28%
- english: 44%
- russian: 10%
- spanish: 3%
- japanese: 1% (game NOT localized in this language)
- brazilian: 5% (game NOT localized in this language)

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier (Boxleiter method, 20-75x by year). Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/2869610
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when using these estimates.