# Erogoddess: Mirage

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

- Steam appid: 2875500
- Developer: Moobly
- Publisher: Loolust
- Released: 2024 · Genre: Adventure · List price: $5.99
- Deal grade: B (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $224 to $336 per month (mid $280)
- Opportunity score: $364/month at x1.30 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 1.1k · Est. lifetime net revenue: $1.8k
- Review sentiment: 98% positive across 40 reviews (33 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 6.4 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- Developer active, last post 6 months ago
- Last build shipped 22 months ago

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $509 |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $442 |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $400 |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $280 |

## Monthly review counts, oldest to newest (5 months)

29, 1, 0, 1, 1

## Estimated acquisition range

$6.7k to $13.4k (2-4x the trailing net annuity of $3.4k/year). Same error range applies.

## Markets by review language

- english: 70%
- russian: 27%
- schinese: 3%

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier (Boxleiter method, 20-75x by year). Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/2875500
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when using these estimates.