# Cozy Island

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

- Steam appid: 2918500
- Developer: LazyFish Studio
- Released: 2025 · Genre: Adventure · List price: $8.99
- Deal grade: C (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $3.8k to $5.7k per month (mid $4.7k)
- Opportunity score: $4.7k/month at x1.00 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 77.5k · Est. lifetime net revenue: $233.7k
- Review sentiment: 92% positive across 2627 reviews (2423 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 62.8 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- Developer active, last post 5 months ago
- Last build shipped 4 months ago
- Store page localized in only 4 language(s)
- Last discounted 1 months ago, 8 sales in the last 12 months

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $8.6k |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $7.5k |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $6.8k |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $4.7k |

## Monthly review counts, oldest to newest (11 months)

758, 325, 750, 171, 81, 61, 106, 65, 27, 61, 57

## Missed seasonal-sale revenue (modeled)

Skipped 3 Steam seasonal sale window(s) in the last 11 months. Running a -50% discount in those windows is modeled at +$37.8k net in total, assuming a unit uplift of x3.0 (industry-typical for old catalog titles). Same ±30-50% error range applies.

## Markets by review language

- koreana: 0%
- japanese: 0%
- schinese: 95%
- english: 4%
- russian: 0% (game NOT localized in this language)
- spanish: 0% (game NOT localized in this language)
- brazilian: 0% (game NOT localized in this language)
- french: 0% (game NOT localized in this language)
- german: 0% (game NOT localized in this language)

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier (Boxleiter method, 20-75x by year). Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/2918500
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when using these estimates.