# CROWDED. FOLLOWED.

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

- Steam appid: 2948790
- Developer: NIGHT DIAL
- Publisher: Banshee Games
- Released: 2024 · Genre: Adventure · List price: $5.99
- Deal grade: D (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $163 to $245 per month (mid $204)
- Opportunity score: $204/month at x1.00 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 9.6k · Est. lifetime net revenue: $16.8k
- Review sentiment: 93% positive across 323 reviews (299 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 4.7 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- Developer active, last post 10 months ago
- Last build shipped 10 months ago
- Store page localized in only 2 language(s)
- Last discounted 5 months ago, 4 sales in the last 12 months

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $371 |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $323 |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $292 |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $204 |

## Monthly review counts, oldest to newest (21 months)

72, 73, 27, 27, 7, 9, 4, 6, 5, 13, 3, 3, 18, 9, 2, 7, 1, 10, 1, 2, 7

## Missed seasonal-sale revenue (modeled)

Skipped 8 Steam seasonal sale window(s) in the last 21 months. Running a -50% discount in those windows is modeled at +$3.8k net in total, assuming a unit uplift of x3.0 (industry-typical for old catalog titles). Same ±30-50% error range applies.

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier (Boxleiter method, 20-75x by year). Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/2948790
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when using these estimates.