# PROXIMATE

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

- Steam appid: 2957800
- Developer: Cain Maddox
- Released: 2024 · Genre: Adventure · List price: $5.99
- Deal grade: B (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $829 to $1.2k per month (mid $1.0k)
- Opportunity score: $1.7k/month at x1.60 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 29.8k · Est. lifetime net revenue: $52.2k
- Review sentiment: 93% positive across 980 reviews (931 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 23.7 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- No developer announcement on record, ever
- Last build shipped 11 months ago
- Store page localized in only 1 language(s)

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $1.9k |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $1.6k |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $1.5k |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $1.0k |

## Monthly review counts, oldest to newest (21 months)

29, 5, 9, 12, 69, 194, 59, 37, 39, 47, 20, 136, 61, 35, 47, 24, 27, 14, 24, 27, 26

## Estimated acquisition range

$24.9k to $49.7k (2-4x the trailing net annuity of $12.4k/year). Same error range applies.

## Markets by review language

- french: 0% (game NOT localized in this language)
- german: 1% (game NOT localized in this language)
- english: 96% (game NOT localized in this language)
- russian: 1% (game NOT localized in this language)
- spanish: 1% (game NOT localized in this language)
- brazilian: 1% (game NOT localized in this language)

Localization gap: 100% of measured reviews are written in languages the game does not support (top: english). Localizing is likely immediate market expansion.

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier (Boxleiter method, 20-75x by year). Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/2957800
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when using these estimates.