# My Girlfriend is... Centaur

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

- Steam appid: 2981350
- Developer: HairGang Studio
- Released: 2024 · Genre: Adventure · List price: $9.99
- Deal grade: B (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $380 to $569 per month (mid $475)
- Opportunity score: $783/month at x1.65 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 4.3k · Est. lifetime net revenue: $12.6k
- Review sentiment: 63% positive across 144 reviews (135 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 6.5 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- Developer silent for 21 months
- Studio quiet across its whole catalog
- Last build shipped 26 months ago

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $861 |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $750 |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $678 |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $475 |

## Monthly review counts, oldest to newest (22 months)

40, 5, 3, 1, 3, 13, 10, 2, 12, 1, 2, 2, 2, 2, 2, 5, 12, 6, 11, 7, 3, 0

## Estimated acquisition range

$11.4k to $22.8k (2-4x the trailing net annuity of $5.7k/year). Same error range applies.

## Markets by review language

- russian: 32%
- spanish: 1%
- schinese: 2%
- brazilian: 3%
- french: 3%
- german: 2%
- english: 56%
- koreana: 1%

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier (Boxleiter method, 20-75x by year). Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/2981350
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when using these estimates.
