# SkyBrew: Entropic Strategist

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

- Steam appid: 2990510
- Developer: ATRIC Games
- Released: 2025 · Genre: Casual · List price: $17.99
- Deal grade: B (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $322 to $483 per month (mid $402)
- Opportunity score: $603/month at x1.50 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 16.9k · Est. lifetime net revenue: $101.9k
- Review sentiment: 76% positive across 564 reviews (528 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 2.7 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- Developer active, last post 9 months ago
- Last build shipped 9 months ago
- No Steam discount in 4.0 years (deepest tracked: -0%)

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $730 |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $635 |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $575 |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $402 |

## Monthly review counts, oldest to newest (20 months)

485, 88, 54, 147, 126, 33, 5, 1, 3, 108, 2, 2, 8, 6, 4, 3, 0, 4, 4, 1

## Missed seasonal-sale revenue (modeled)

Skipped 11 Steam seasonal sale window(s) in the last 20 months. Running a -50% discount in those windows is modeled at +$56.6k net in total, assuming a unit uplift of x3.0 (industry-typical for old catalog titles). Same ±30-50% error range applies.

## Estimated acquisition range

$9.7k to $19.3k (2-4x the trailing net annuity of $4.8k/year). Same error range applies.

## Markets by review language

- russian: 0%
- japanese: 4%
- schinese: 82%
- english: 13%
- koreana: 1% (game NOT localized in this language)

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier (Boxleiter method, 20-75x by year). Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/2990510
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when using these estimates.
