# CRUELTY

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

- Steam appid: 3011850
- Developer: 838s Maniacs
- Released: 2024 · Genre: Action · List price: $6.99
- Deal grade: C (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $163 to $245 per month (mid $204)
- Opportunity score: $266/month at x1.30 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 4.0k · Est. lifetime net revenue: $8.2k
- Review sentiment: 73% positive across 143 reviews (125 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 4.0 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- Developer active, last post 4 months ago
- Last build shipped 25 months ago
- Last discounted 1 months ago, 12 sales in the last 12 months

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $371 |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $323 |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $292 |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $204 |

## Monthly review counts, oldest to newest (23 months)

25, 15, 12, 3, 7, 6, 4, 4, 3, 4, 2, 2, 2, 1, 4, 8, 6, 1, 4, 3, 3, 5, 8

## Missed seasonal-sale revenue (modeled)

Skipped 3 Steam seasonal sale window(s) in the last 23 months. Running a -50% discount in those windows is modeled at +$485 net in total, assuming a unit uplift of x3.0 (industry-typical for old catalog titles). Same ±30-50% error range applies.

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier (Boxleiter method, 20-75x by year). Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/3011850
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when using these estimates.