# BrokenLore: LOW

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

- Steam appid: 3014520
- Developer: Serafini Productions
- Released: 2025 · Genre: Action · List price: $8.99
- Deal grade: B (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $362 to $543 per month (mid $452)
- Opportunity score: $610/month at x1.35 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 13.0k · Est. lifetime net revenue: $39.2k
- Review sentiment: 76% positive across 505 reviews (406 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 6.0 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- Developer silent for 16 months
- Studio active elsewhere (4 titles tracked), so this one may welcome a partner
- Last build shipped 17 months ago
- Last discounted 1 months ago, 11 sales in the last 12 months

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $821 |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $714 |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $646 |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $452 |

## Monthly review counts, oldest to newest (17 months)

212, 63, 24, 26, 11, 13, 9, 3, 5, 6, 5, 11, 3, 4, 4, 8, 6

## Missed seasonal-sale revenue (modeled)

Skipped 3 Steam seasonal sale window(s) in the last 17 months. Running a -50% discount in those windows is modeled at +$641 net in total, assuming a unit uplift of x3.0 (industry-typical for old catalog titles). Same ±30-50% error range applies.

## Estimated acquisition range

$10.9k to $21.7k (2-4x the trailing net annuity of $5.4k/year). Same error range applies.

## Markets by review language

- spanish: 2%
- japanese: 5%
- schinese: 30%
- french: 1%
- german: 6%
- english: 40%
- koreana: 6%
- russian: 8%
- brazilian: 1%

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier (Boxleiter method, 20-75x by year). Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/3014520
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when using these estimates.