# Paragnosia

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

- Steam appid: 3017580
- Developer: Sine Coda
- Released: 2024 · Genre: Adventure · List price: $3.99
- Deal grade: D (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $393 to $589 per month (mid $491)
- Opportunity score: $491/month at x1.00 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 7.0k · Est. lifetime net revenue: $8.1k
- Review sentiment: 90% positive across 2228 reviews (218 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 16.8 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- Developer active, last post 0 months ago
- Studio active elsewhere (3 titles tracked), so this one may welcome a partner
- Last build shipped 0 months ago
- 90% of reviews come from key activations (excluded from revenue estimates)

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $891 |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $775 |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $702 |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $491 |

## Monthly review counts, oldest to newest (22 months)

17, 28, 4, 15, 5, 5, 2, 2, 4, 4, 2, 2, 5, 0, 6, 5, 8, 26, 11, 20, 11, 25

## Markets by review language

- german: 3%
- koreana: 2%
- russian: 44%
- schinese: 0%
- brazilian: 1% (game NOT localized in this language)
- french: 11%
- english: 34%
- spanish: 3% (game NOT localized in this language)
- japanese: 1%

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier (Boxleiter method, 20-75x by year). Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/3017580
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when using these estimates.