# Amber Alert

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

- Steam appid: 3019800
- Developer: MEATBREAD
- Publisher:  VirtualVillain
- Released: 2024 · Genre: Action · List price: $4.99
- Deal grade: C (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $112 to $168 per month (mid $140)
- Opportunity score: $182/month at x1.30 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 6.0k · Est. lifetime net revenue: $8.7k
- Review sentiment: 63% positive across 230 reviews (186 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 3.8 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- Developer active, last post 6 months ago
- Last build shipped 26 months ago

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $254 |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $221 |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $200 |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $140 |

## Monthly review counts, oldest to newest (23 months)

54, 16, 4, 2, 7, 4, 0, 4, 22, 14, 9, 8, 6, 10, 3, 3, 3, 6, 2, 6, 2, 3, 4

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier (Boxleiter method, 20-75x by year). Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/3019800
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when using these estimates.
