# Karate Survivor

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

- Steam appid: 3027930
- Developer: Alawar
- Released: 2024 · Genre: Action · List price: $4.99
- Deal grade: B (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $870 to $1.3k per month (mid $1.1k)
- Opportunity score: $1.4k/month at x1.30 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 95.4k · Est. lifetime net revenue: $139.2k
- Review sentiment: 85% positive across 3359 reviews (2982 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 29.8 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- Developer active, last post 4 months ago
- Studio active elsewhere (11 titles tracked), so this one may welcome a partner
- Last build shipped 18 months ago

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $2.0k |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $1.7k |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $1.6k |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $1.1k |

## Monthly review counts, oldest to newest (22 months)

711, 983, 226, 184, 67, 71, 38, 145, 70, 70, 44, 47, 56, 67, 53, 37, 23, 32, 34, 17, 31, 42

## Estimated acquisition range

$26.1k to $52.2k (2-4x the trailing net annuity of $13.1k/year). Same error range applies.

## Markets by review language

- german: 2%
- english: 34%
- russian: 16%
- spanish: 3%
- schinese: 21%
- brazilian: 6%
- french: 2%
- koreana: 14%
- japanese: 3%

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier (Boxleiter method, 20-75x by year). Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/3027930
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when using these estimates.