# The Fox's Way Home

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

- Steam appid: 3034520
- Developer: BeXide Inc.
- Released: 2024 · Genre: Adventure · List price: $15.99
- Deal grade: B (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $436 to $654 per month (mid $545)
- Opportunity score: $900/month at x1.65 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 5.4k · Est. lifetime net revenue: $25.1k
- Review sentiment: 89% positive across 190 reviews (168 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 4.7 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- Developer silent for 20 months
- Studio active elsewhere (8 titles tracked), so this one may welcome a partner
- Last build shipped 20 months ago
- Last discounted 1 months ago, 7 sales in the last 12 months

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $990 |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $861 |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $779 |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $545 |

## Monthly review counts, oldest to newest (21 months)

53, 13, 10, 12, 6, 4, 0, 2, 4, 13, 10, 4, 5, 2, 6, 4, 3, 8, 2, 0, 11

## Missed seasonal-sale revenue (modeled)

Skipped 8 Steam seasonal sale window(s) in the last 21 months. Running a -50% discount in those windows is modeled at +$5.5k net in total, assuming a unit uplift of x3.0 (industry-typical for old catalog titles). Same ±30-50% error range applies.

## Estimated acquisition range

$13.1k to $26.2k (2-4x the trailing net annuity of $6.5k/year). Same error range applies.

## Markets by review language

- japanese: 64%
- schinese: 8%
- brazilian: 1% (game NOT localized in this language)
- french: 1%
- english: 14%
- koreana: 9% (game NOT localized in this language)
- russian: 4%

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier (Boxleiter method, 20-75x by year). Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/3034520
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when using these estimates.