# Can't revert

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

- Steam appid: 3111680
- Developer: Metaphor
- Released: 2024 · Genre: Indie · List price: $4.99
- Deal grade: B (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $136 to $204 per month (mid $170)
- Opportunity score: $323/month at x1.90 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 6.4k · Est. lifetime net revenue: $9.4k
- Review sentiment: 80% positive across 231 reviews (201 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 4.7 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- Developer silent for 2.0 years
- Studio quiet across its whole catalog
- Last build shipped 24 months ago

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $309 |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $269 |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $243 |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $170 |

## Monthly review counts, oldest to newest (23 months)

66, 20, 11, 6, 3, 11, 4, 6, 11, 0, 5, 3, 5, 8, 8, 2, 8, 6, 2, 6, 7, 3, 4

## Estimated acquisition range

$4.1k to $8.2k (2-4x the trailing net annuity of $2.0k/year). Same error range applies.

## Markets by review language

- french: 6%
- german: 9%
- english: 33%
- japanese: 4%
- schinese: 10%
- koreana: 16%
- russian: 9%
- spanish: 5%
- brazilian: 6%

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier (Boxleiter method, 20-75x by year). Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/3111680
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when using these estimates.