# Dream Cage

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

- Steam appid: 3122170
- Developer: Hitori De Productions
- Released: 2025 · Genre: Adventure · List price: $7.99
- Deal grade: B (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $572 to $857 per month (mid $714)
- Opportunity score: $1.2k/month at x1.65 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 9.4k · Est. lifetime net revenue: $25.3k
- Review sentiment: 66% positive across 326 reviews (295 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 10.7 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- Developer silent for 14 months
- Studio active elsewhere (4 titles tracked), so this one may welcome a partner
- Last build shipped 19 months ago
- Last discounted 1 months ago, 10 sales in the last 12 months

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $1.3k |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $1.1k |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $1.0k |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $714 |

## Monthly review counts, oldest to newest (18 months)

141, 9, 2, 12, 7, 12, 11, 8, 3, 5, 9, 15, 3, 9, 38, 5, 3, 6

## Missed seasonal-sale revenue (modeled)

Skipped 2 Steam seasonal sale window(s) in the last 18 months. Running a -50% discount in those windows is modeled at +$402 net in total, assuming a unit uplift of x3.0 (industry-typical for old catalog titles). Same ±30-50% error range applies.

## Estimated acquisition range

$17.1k to $34.3k (2-4x the trailing net annuity of $8.6k/year). Same error range applies.

## Markets by review language

- german: 5%
- koreana: 3%
- russian: 22%
- spanish: 4%
- brazilian: 4%
- english: 50%
- japanese: 1%
- schinese: 9%
- french: 3%

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier (Boxleiter method, 20-75x by year). Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/3122170
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when using these estimates.