# Carnival Heroes - Super party minigames

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

- Steam appid: 3142290
- Developer: LAN - GAMES LTD
- Released: 2025 · Genre: Action · List price: $3.99
- Deal grade: B (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $1.1k to $1.6k per month (mid $1.4k)
- Opportunity score: $2.1k/month at x1.50 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 1.2k · Est. lifetime net revenue: $1.7k
- Review sentiment: 98% positive across 40 reviews (39 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 41.0 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- Developer active, last post 8 months ago
- Studio active elsewhere (2 titles tracked), so this one may welcome a partner
- Last build shipped 7 months ago
- No Steam discount in 4.0 years (deepest tracked: -0%)

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $2.5k |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $2.2k |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $2.0k |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $1.4k |

## Estimated acquisition range

$32.9k to $65.8k (2-4x the trailing net annuity of $16.5k/year). Same error range applies.

## Markets by review language

- english: 59%
- russian: 41%

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier (Boxleiter method, 20-75x by year). Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/3142290
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when using these estimates.
