# Ayasa: Shadows of Silence

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

- Steam appid: 3146120
- Developer: Aya Games
- Released: 2025 · Genre: Action · List price: $24.99
- Deal grade: D (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $531 to $796 per month (mid $663)
- Opportunity score: $663/month at x1.00 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 2.8k · Est. lifetime net revenue: $23.3k
- Review sentiment: 67% positive across 106 reviews (87 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 3.2 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- Developer active, last post 3 months ago
- Last build shipped 2 months ago
- Last discounted 1 months ago, 7 sales in the last 12 months

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $1.2k |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $1.0k |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $948 |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $663 |

## Monthly review counts, oldest to newest (8 months)

47, 18, 7, 0, 5, 1, 5, 1

## Missed seasonal-sale revenue (modeled)

Skipped 3 Steam seasonal sale window(s) in the last 8 months. Running a -50% discount in those windows is modeled at +$5.4k net in total, assuming a unit uplift of x3.0 (industry-typical for old catalog titles). Same ±30-50% error range applies.

## Markets by review language

- french: 1%
- koreana: 2%
- russian: 26%
- german: 2%
- english: 55%
- spanish: 1%
- japanese: 1%
- schinese: 8%
- brazilian: 2%

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier (Boxleiter method, 20-75x by year). Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/3146120
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when using these estimates.
