# Winter Survivor Protocol

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

- Steam appid: 3174500
- Developer: RECAST
- Released: 2026 · Genre: Adventure · List price: $11.99
- Deal grade: C (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $4.8k to $7.2k per month (mid $6.0k)
- Opportunity score: $6.0k/month at x1.00 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 5.5k · Est. lifetime net revenue: $22.0k
- Review sentiment: 69% positive across 189 reviews (171 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 60.0 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- Developer active, last post 2 months ago
- Last build shipped 2 months ago
- Last discounted 1 months ago, 3 sales in the last 12 months

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $10.9k |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $9.5k |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $8.6k |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $6.0k |

## Monthly review counts, oldest to newest (3 months)

170, 6, 4

## Markets by review language

- russian: 6%
- spanish: 1%
- japanese: 6%
- schinese: 78%
- french: 1%
- english: 8%
- koreana: 1%

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier (Boxleiter method, 20-75x by year). Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/3174500
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when using these estimates.