# Project Songbird

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

- Steam appid: 3180410
- Developer: FYRE Games
- Released: 2026 · Genre: Action · List price: $14.99
- Deal grade: C (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $3.7k to $5.5k per month (mid $4.6k)
- Opportunity score: $4.6k/month at x1.00 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 6.0k · Est. lifetime net revenue: $30.1k
- Review sentiment: 89% positive across 250 reviews (187 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 36.8 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- Developer active, last post 1 months ago
- Last build shipped 1 months ago
- Last discounted 1 months ago, 3 sales in the last 12 months

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $8.4k |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $7.3k |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $6.6k |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $4.6k |

## Monthly review counts, oldest to newest (5 months)

70, 64, 17, 8, 25

## Missed seasonal-sale revenue (modeled)

Skipped 1 Steam seasonal sale window(s) in the last 5 months. Running a -50% discount in those windows is modeled at +$4.4k net in total, assuming a unit uplift of x3.0 (industry-typical for old catalog titles). Same ±30-50% error range applies.

## Markets by review language

- brazilian: 1% (game NOT localized in this language)
- english: 84%
- russian: 2% (game NOT localized in this language)
- spanish: 2%
- japanese: 4%
- french: 2%
- german: 5%
- koreana: 1% (game NOT localized in this language)
- schinese: 1% (game NOT localized in this language)

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier (Boxleiter method, 20-75x by year). Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/3180410
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when using these estimates.