# Epoch of Guardians

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

- Steam appid: 3183500
- Developer: 伊洛维游戏
- Released: 2025 · Genre: Indie · List price: $11.99
- Deal grade: B (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $482 to $724 per month (mid $603)
- Opportunity score: $965/month at x1.60 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 1.0k · Est. lifetime net revenue: $4.1k
- Review sentiment: 85% positive across 39 reviews (32 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 6.0 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- Developer silent for 18 months
- Studio quiet across its whole catalog
- Last build shipped 18 months ago
- Store page localized in only 4 language(s)
- Last discounted 7 months ago, 4 sales in the last 12 months

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $1.1k |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $952 |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $862 |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $603 |

## Monthly review counts, oldest to newest (6 months)

30, 1, 3, 1, 0, 1

## Missed seasonal-sale revenue (modeled)

Skipped 1 Steam seasonal sale window(s) in the last 6 months. Running a -50% discount in those windows is modeled at +$50 net in total, assuming a unit uplift of x3.0 (industry-typical for old catalog titles). Same ±30-50% error range applies.

## Estimated acquisition range

$14.5k to $28.9k (2-4x the trailing net annuity of $7.2k/year). Same error range applies.

## Markets by review language

- english: 10%
- spanish: 3% (game NOT localized in this language)
- japanese: 6%
- schinese: 81%

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier (Boxleiter method, 20-75x by year). Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/3183500
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when using these estimates.
