# Trainee Death Simulator

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

- Steam appid: 3188550
- Developer: Bone Nail
- Released: 2024 · Genre: Indie · List price: $5.99
- Deal grade: B (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $444 to $665 per month (mid $554)
- Opportunity score: $915/month at x1.65 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 55.6k · Est. lifetime net revenue: $97.3k
- Review sentiment: 93% positive across 1999 reviews (1737 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 12.7 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- Developer silent for 19 months
- Studio active elsewhere (3 titles tracked), so this one may welcome a partner
- Last build shipped 19 months ago
- Store page localized in only 4 language(s)

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $1.0k |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $876 |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $793 |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $554 |

## Monthly review counts, oldest to newest (21 months)

1080, 153, 113, 59, 51, 40, 28, 34, 51, 22, 15, 27, 23, 21, 10, 21, 13, 7, 3, 9, 23

## Estimated acquisition range

$13.3k to $26.6k (2-4x the trailing net annuity of $6.7k/year). Same error range applies.

## Markets by review language

- english: 3%
- koreana: 1% (game NOT localized in this language)
- russian: 0% (game NOT localized in this language)
- spanish: 0% (game NOT localized in this language)
- japanese: 1%
- schinese: 95%
- brazilian: 0% (game NOT localized in this language)

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier (Boxleiter method, 20-75x by year). Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/3188550
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when using these estimates.