# Pathologic 3

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

- Steam appid: 3199650
- Developer: Ice-Pick Lodge
- Publisher: HypeTrain Digital
- Released: 2026 · Genre: Adventure · List price: $34.99
- Deal grade: C (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $26.6k to $39.8k per month (mid $33.2k)
- Opportunity score: $33.2k/month at x1.00 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 79.6k · Est. lifetime net revenue: $934.1k
- Review sentiment: 80% positive across 2756 reviews (2488 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 113.2 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- Developer active, last post 2 months ago
- Studio active elsewhere (6 titles tracked), so this one may welcome a partner
- Last build shipped 5 months ago
- Store page localized in only 2 language(s)
- Last discounted 0 months ago, 6 sales in the last 12 months

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $60.3k |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $52.4k |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $47.4k |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $33.2k |

## Monthly review counts, oldest to newest (7 months)

1839, 243, 130, 100, 82, 67, 57

## Markets by review language

- spanish: 1% (game NOT localized in this language)
- japanese: 0% (game NOT localized in this language)
- brazilian: 3% (game NOT localized in this language)
- german: 0% (game NOT localized in this language)
- english: 45%
- schinese: 1% (game NOT localized in this language)
- french: 0% (game NOT localized in this language)
- koreana: 0% (game NOT localized in this language)
- russian: 50% (game NOT localized in this language)

Localization gap: 55% of measured reviews are written in languages the game does not support (top: russian). Localizing is likely immediate market expansion.

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier (Boxleiter method, 20-75x by year). Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/3199650
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when using these estimates.