# Luck & Loot

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

- Steam appid: 3208110
- Developer: SMARTcreative
- Publisher: GrabTheGames
- Released: 2025 · Genre: Indie · List price: $7.99
- Deal grade: D (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $214 to $322 per month (mid $268)
- Opportunity score: $268/month at x1.00 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 4.4k · Est. lifetime net revenue: $11.7k
- Review sentiment: 91% positive across 204 reviews (137 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 4.0 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- Developer active, last post 1 months ago
- Last build shipped 1 months ago

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $486 |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $423 |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $383 |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $268 |

## Monthly review counts, oldest to newest (12 months)

64, 9, 12, 9, 10, 11, 4, 7, 1, 3, 2, 7

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier (Boxleiter method, 20-75x by year). Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/3208110
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when using these estimates.