# Nightmare Shift

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

- Steam appid: 3212180
- Developer: Binary Lunar
- Released: 2025 · Genre: Adventure · List price: $8.99
- Deal grade: D (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $432 to $648 per month (mid $540)
- Opportunity score: $540/month at x1.00 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 6.4k · Est. lifetime net revenue: $19.4k
- Review sentiment: 76% positive across 254 reviews (201 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 7.2 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- Developer active, last post 0 months ago
- Last build shipped 3 months ago

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $980 |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $853 |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $772 |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $540 |

## Monthly review counts, oldest to newest (13 months)

91, 34, 15, 1, 5, 8, 5, 7, 9, 8, 4, 4, 11

## Markets by review language

- brazilian: 5%
- french: 3%
- koreana: 9%
- japanese: 1%
- schinese: 8%
- german: 5% (game NOT localized in this language)
- english: 54%
- russian: 12%
- spanish: 3% (game NOT localized in this language)

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier (Boxleiter method, 20-75x by year). Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/3212180
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when using these estimates.