# Rogue Factory

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

- Steam appid: 3212630
- Developer: curried_functor
- Released: 2026 · Genre: Action · List price: $9.99
- Deal grade: C (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $2.7k to $4.0k per month (mid $3.3k)
- Opportunity score: $4.2k/month at x1.25 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 5.1k · Est. lifetime net revenue: $17.2k
- Review sentiment: 73% positive across 164 reviews (160 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 40.0 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- Developer active, last post 7 months ago
- Last build shipped 7 months ago
- Store page localized in only 1 language(s)
- Last discounted 6 months ago, 1 sales in the last 12 months

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $6.1k |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $5.3k |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $4.8k |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $3.3k |

## Monthly review counts, oldest to newest (4 months)

150, 4, 2, 4

## Missed seasonal-sale revenue (modeled)

Skipped 2 Steam seasonal sale window(s) in the last 4 months. Running a -50% discount in those windows is modeled at +$251 net in total, assuming a unit uplift of x3.0 (industry-typical for old catalog titles). Same ±30-50% error range applies.

## Markets by review language

- french: 1% (game NOT localized in this language)
- german: 2% (game NOT localized in this language)
- english: 92%
- koreana: 1% (game NOT localized in this language)
- russian: 1% (game NOT localized in this language)
- japanese: 2% (game NOT localized in this language)
- schinese: 1% (game NOT localized in this language)

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier (Boxleiter method, 20-75x by year). Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/3212630
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when using these estimates.