# The Bleakest Keep

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

- Steam appid: 3231520
- Developer: Cache of Bones
- Released: 2025 · Genre: Action · List price: $9.99
- Deal grade: C (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $2.4k to $3.6k per month (mid $3.0k)
- Opportunity score: $3.0k/month at x1.00 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 22.6k · Est. lifetime net revenue: $75.7k
- Review sentiment: 91% positive across 720 reviews (706 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 35.8 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- Developer active, last post 0 months ago
- Studio active elsewhere (2 titles tracked), so this one may welcome a partner
- Last build shipped 1 months ago
- Store page localized in only 1 language(s)
- Last discounted 0 months ago, 8 sales in the last 12 months

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $5.4k |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $4.7k |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $4.3k |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $3.0k |

## Monthly review counts, oldest to newest (11 months)

160, 119, 74, 100, 48, 114, 28, 30, 15, 11, 17

## Missed seasonal-sale revenue (modeled)

Skipped 2 Steam seasonal sale window(s) in the last 11 months. Running a -50% discount in those windows is modeled at +$5.1k net in total, assuming a unit uplift of x3.0 (industry-typical for old catalog titles). Same ±30-50% error range applies.

## Markets by review language

- french: 1% (game NOT localized in this language)
- german: 2% (game NOT localized in this language)
- english: 86% (game NOT localized in this language)
- russian: 5% (game NOT localized in this language)
- spanish: 4% (game NOT localized in this language)
- japanese: 0% (game NOT localized in this language)
- schinese: 0% (game NOT localized in this language)
- brazilian: 2% (game NOT localized in this language)

Localization gap: 100% of measured reviews are written in languages the game does not support (top: english). Localizing is likely immediate market expansion.

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier (Boxleiter method, 20-75x by year). Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/3231520
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when using these estimates.