# The Black Ice

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

- Steam appid: 3254050
- Developer: RED CRAB GAMES
- Publisher: Antelus Games
- Released: 2025 · Genre: Action · List price: $14.99
- Deal grade: D (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $637 to $955 per month (mid $796)
- Opportunity score: $796/month at x1.00 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 4.6k · Est. lifetime net revenue: $23.3k
- Review sentiment: 82% positive across 179 reviews (145 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 6.3 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- Developer active, last post 2 months ago
- Last build shipped 8 months ago

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $1.4k |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $1.3k |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $1.1k |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $796 |

## Monthly review counts, oldest to newest (8 months)

83, 28, 13, 5, 4, 5, 3, 8

## Markets by review language

- brazilian: 1%
- french: 1%
- german: 4%
- english: 19%
- russian: 69%
- spanish: 1%
- japanese: 1%
- schinese: 4%

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier (Boxleiter method, 20-75x by year). Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/3254050
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when using these estimates.