# Hina-chan's Sticker Survival

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

- Steam appid: 3270920
- Developer: ISY
- Released: 2024 · Genre: Casual · List price: $6.99
- Deal grade: C (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $82 to $123 per month (mid $102)
- Opportunity score: $138/month at x1.35 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 1.4k · Est. lifetime net revenue: $2.9k
- Review sentiment: 96% positive across 47 reviews (45 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 2.0 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- Developer silent for 13 months
- Studio active elsewhere (2 titles tracked), so this one may welcome a partner
- Last build shipped 11 months ago
- Store page localized in only 2 language(s)
- Last discounted 1 months ago, 4 sales in the last 12 months

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $185 |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $161 |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $146 |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $102 |

## Monthly review counts, oldest to newest (17 months)

6, 5, 7, 1, 1, 2, 1, 1, 7, 1, 1, 5, 1, 1, 3, 1, 1

## Missed seasonal-sale revenue (modeled)

Skipped 7 Steam seasonal sale window(s) in the last 17 months. Running a -50% discount in those windows is modeled at +$307 net in total, assuming a unit uplift of x3.0 (industry-typical for old catalog titles). Same ±30-50% error range applies.

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier (Boxleiter method, 20-75x by year). Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/3270920
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when using these estimates.