# VIRTUAL GIRL @ WORLD’S END

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

- Steam appid: 3290440
- Developer: 株式会社ヘッドロック
- Publisher: Bushiroad Inc.
- Released: 2025 · Genre: Adventure · List price: $19.99
- Deal grade: B (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $335 to $503 per month (mid $419)
- Opportunity score: $545/month at x1.30 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 2.1k · Est. lifetime net revenue: $14.4k
- Review sentiment: 94% positive across 90 reviews (67 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 2.5 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- Developer active, last post 12 months ago
- Last build shipped 18 months ago
- Store page localized in only 4 language(s)

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $761 |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $662 |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $599 |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $419 |

## Monthly review counts, oldest to newest (11 months)

19, 7, 3, 17, 5, 2, 4, 2, 5, 1, 1

## Estimated acquisition range

$10.1k to $20.1k (2-4x the trailing net annuity of $5.0k/year). Same error range applies.

## Markets by review language

- schinese: 40%
- english: 15%
- koreana: 2% (game NOT localized in this language)
- japanese: 43% (game NOT localized in this language)

Localization gap: 45% of measured reviews are written in languages the game does not support (top: japanese). Localizing is likely immediate market expansion.

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier (Boxleiter method, 20-75x by year). Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/3290440
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when using these estimates.