# 双相：水管（Bipolar: The Tube)

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

- Steam appid: 3296620
- Developer: Wicky Yu
- Released: 2024 · Genre: Adventure · List price: $0.99
- Deal grade: C (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $22 to $33 per month (mid $28)
- Opportunity score: $53/month at x1.90 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 1.9k · Est. lifetime net revenue: $556
- Review sentiment: 80% positive across 60 reviews (60 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 3.8 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- No developer announcement on record, ever
- Studio quiet across its whole catalog
- Last build shipped 22 months ago
- Store page localized in only 1 language(s)

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $50 |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $44 |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $40 |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $28 |

## Monthly review counts, oldest to newest (13 months)

1, 5, 12, 4, 4, 9, 4, 7, 5, 2, 5, 2, 2

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier (Boxleiter method, 20-75x by year). Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/3296620
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when using these estimates.