# Nightmare Frontier

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

- Steam appid: 3310950
- Developer: Ice Code Games
- Publisher: Slitherine Ltd. 
- Released: 2026 · Genre: Indie · List price: $24.99
- Deal grade: C (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $1.4k to $2.1k per month (mid $1.8k)
- Opportunity score: $1.8k/month at x1.00 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 5.9k · Est. lifetime net revenue: $49.6k
- Review sentiment: 75% positive across 266 reviews (185 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 8.5 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- Developer active, last post 0 months ago
- Studio active elsewhere (3 titles tracked), so this one may welcome a partner
- Last build shipped 1 months ago
- Last discounted 1 months ago, 9 sales in the last 12 months

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $3.2k |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $2.8k |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $2.5k |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $1.8k |

## Monthly review counts, oldest to newest (14 months)

94, 8, 9, 3, 3, 4, 5, 1, 2, 6, 1, 2, 4, 36

## Missed seasonal-sale revenue (modeled)

Skipped 7 Steam seasonal sale window(s) in the last 14 months. Running a -50% discount in those windows is modeled at +$6.7k net in total, assuming a unit uplift of x3.0 (industry-typical for old catalog titles). Same ±30-50% error range applies.

## Markets by review language

- english: 55%
- russian: 12%
- brazilian: 3%
- koreana: 8%
- spanish: 1%
- japanese: 1%
- schinese: 12%
- french: 2%
- german: 7%

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier (Boxleiter method, 20-75x by year). Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/3310950
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when using these estimates.