# AI Learns To Drive

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

- Steam appid: 3312030
- Developer: ActivationFunction
- Released: 2026 · Genre: Indie · List price: $7.49
- Deal grade: D (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $218 to $326 per month (mid $272)
- Opportunity score: $272/month at x1.00 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 6.0k · Est. lifetime net revenue: $14.9k
- Review sentiment: 95% positive across 193 reviews (186 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 4.3 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- Developer active, last post 0 months ago
- Last build shipped 0 months ago
- Store page localized in only 1 language(s)

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $494 |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $430 |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $389 |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $272 |

## Monthly review counts, oldest to newest (19 months)

34, 21, 11, 6, 2, 6, 9, 14, 22, 9, 14, 10, 9, 6, 4, 5, 5, 3, 3

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier (Boxleiter method, 20-75x by year). Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/3312030
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when using these estimates.