# Only False

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

- Steam appid: 3371930
- Developer: Metavision Studio
- Released: 2025 · Genre: Casual · List price: $5.99
- Deal grade: B (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $1.1k to $1.7k per month (mid $1.4k)
- Opportunity score: $2.3k/month at x1.65 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 2.6k · Est. lifetime net revenue: $5.3k
- Review sentiment: 93% positive across 100 reviews (82 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 27.5 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- Developer silent for 14 months
- Studio quiet across its whole catalog
- Last build shipped 18 months ago

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $2.5k |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $2.2k |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $2.0k |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $1.4k |

## Monthly review counts, oldest to newest (4 months)

107, 2, 1, 0

## Estimated acquisition range

$33.1k to $66.3k (2-4x the trailing net annuity of $16.6k/year). Same error range applies.

## Markets by review language

- german: 1% (game NOT localized in this language)
- english: 95%
- russian: 4%

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier (Boxleiter method, 20-75x by year). Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/3371930
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when using these estimates.
