# Winter Clothing

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

- Steam appid: 3403510
- Developer: 坤舆科技
- Released: 2025 · Genre: Adventure · List price: $9.99
- Deal grade: B (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $447 to $670 per month (mid $558)
- Opportunity score: $754/month at x1.35 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 1.3k · Est. lifetime net revenue: $4.3k
- Review sentiment: 83% positive across 89 reviews (40 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 6.7 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- Developer silent for 16 months
- Studio quiet across its whole catalog
- Last build shipped 16 months ago
- 55% of reviews come from key activations (excluded from revenue estimates)

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $1.0k |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $882 |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $798 |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $558 |

## Monthly review counts, oldest to newest (6 months)

37, 0, 2, 0, 1, 0

## Estimated acquisition range

$13.4k to $26.8k (2-4x the trailing net annuity of $6.7k/year). Same error range applies.

## Markets by review language

- english: 2%
- koreana: 5% (game NOT localized in this language)
- japanese: 2%
- schinese: 90%

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier (Boxleiter method, 20-75x by year). Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/3403510
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when using these estimates.