# Cafemart Simulator

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

- Steam appid: 3408110
- Developer: Science Interactive
- Released: 2025 · Genre: Indie · List price: $7.99
- Deal grade: D (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $482 to $723 per month (mid $603)
- Opportunity score: $603/month at x1.00 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 19.5k · Est. lifetime net revenue: $52.3k
- Review sentiment: 73% positive across 685 reviews (610 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 9.0 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- Developer active, last post 4 months ago
- Studio active elsewhere (2 titles tracked), so this one may welcome a partner
- Last build shipped 2 months ago
- Last discounted 1 months ago, 4 sales in the last 12 months

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $1.1k |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $952 |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $862 |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $603 |

## Monthly review counts, oldest to newest (18 months)

123, 139, 116, 31, 26, 32, 18, 14, 16, 29, 22, 9, 15, 7, 9, 5, 12, 6

## Missed seasonal-sale revenue (modeled)

Skipped 4 Steam seasonal sale window(s) in the last 18 months. Running a -50% discount in those windows is modeled at +$6.8k net in total, assuming a unit uplift of x3.0 (industry-typical for old catalog titles). Same ±30-50% error range applies.

## Markets by review language

- french: 14%
- german: 16%
- english: 34%
- koreana: 3%
- russian: 17%
- spanish: 6%
- schinese: 5%
- japanese: 2%
- brazilian: 3%

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier (Boxleiter method, 20-75x by year). Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/3408110
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when using these estimates.