# The House Always Wins

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

- Steam appid: 3412160
- Developer: Toxic Studio
- Released: 2026 · Genre: Casual · List price: $12.99
- Deal grade: C (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $23.8k to $35.6k per month (mid $29.7k)
- Opportunity score: $29.7k/month at x1.00 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 26.6k · Est. lifetime net revenue: $115.7k
- Review sentiment: 86% positive across 904 reviews (830 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 272.7 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- Developer active, last post 0 months ago
- Last build shipped 0 months ago

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $53.9k |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $46.9k |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $42.4k |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $29.7k |

## Monthly review counts, oldest to newest (3 months)

484, 230, 104

## Markets by review language

- english: 63%
- koreana: 2%
- russian: 13%
- spanish: 1%
- japanese: 0%
- schinese: 4%
- french: 3%
- german: 13%

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier (Boxleiter method, 20-75x by year). Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/3412160
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when using these estimates.