# Lyca

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

- Steam appid: 3421300
- Developer: Syphono4
- Released: 2025 · Genre: Casual · List price: $4.99
- Deal grade: C (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $1.8k to $2.7k per month (mid $2.3k)
- Opportunity score: $2.3k/month at x1.00 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 39.2k · Est. lifetime net revenue: $65.5k
- Review sentiment: 83% positive across 1281 reviews (1224 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 53.8 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- Developer active, last post 10 months ago
- Studio active elsewhere (2 titles tracked), so this one may welcome a partner
- Last build shipped 10 months ago
- Last discounted 1 months ago, 8 sales in the last 12 months

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $4.1k |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $3.6k |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $3.2k |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $2.3k |

## Monthly review counts, oldest to newest (16 months)

309, 70, 58, 32, 44, 125, 39, 125, 51, 53, 22, 45, 19, 17, 166, 54

## Missed seasonal-sale revenue (modeled)

Skipped 1 Steam seasonal sale window(s) in the last 16 months. Running a -50% discount in those windows is modeled at +$1.2k net in total, assuming a unit uplift of x3.0 (industry-typical for old catalog titles). Same ±30-50% error range applies.

## Markets by review language

- brazilian: 4%
- french: 3%
- english: 63%
- koreana: 3%
- russian: 10%
- spanish: 3%
- japanese: 5%
- german: 4%
- schinese: 5%

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier (Boxleiter method, 20-75x by year). Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/3421300
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when using these estimates.