# Survive till 100 years old

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

- Steam appid: 3430570
- Developer: 酸菜小笋很下饭
- Released: 2025 · Genre: Casual · List price: $1.99
- Deal grade: C (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $51 to $77 per month (mid $64)
- Opportunity score: $86/month at x1.35 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 800 · Est. lifetime net revenue: $534
- Review sentiment: 75% positive across 28 reviews (25 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 3.8 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- Developer silent for 17 months
- Studio quiet across its whole catalog
- Last build shipped 17 months ago

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $116 |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $101 |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $91 |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $64 |

## Monthly review counts, oldest to newest (6 months)

6, 3, 10, 2, 1, 1

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier (Boxleiter method, 20-75x by year). Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/3430570
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when using these estimates.
