# SamabakeScramble

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

- Steam appid: 3443620
- Developer: ILLGAMES
- Released: 2025 · Genre: Adventure · List price: $69.99
- Deal grade: C (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $1.2k to $1.8k per month (mid $1.5k)
- Opportunity score: $1.5k/month at x1.00 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 2.8k · Est. lifetime net revenue: $66.1k
- Review sentiment: 70% positive across 92 reviews (88 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 2.5 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- Developer active, last post 11 months ago
- Last build shipped 11 months ago
- Store page localized in only 4 language(s)

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $2.7k |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $2.3k |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $2.1k |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $1.5k |

## Monthly review counts, oldest to newest (15 months)

28, 14, 6, 5, 10, 2, 3, 3, 4, 4, 1, 6, 2, 1, 1

## Markets by review language

- japanese: 5% (game NOT localized in this language)
- schinese: 20%
- brazilian: 2% (game NOT localized in this language)
- german: 9% (game NOT localized in this language)
- english: 45%
- koreana: 11% (game NOT localized in this language)
- russian: 5% (game NOT localized in this language)
- spanish: 5% (game NOT localized in this language)

Localization gap: 35% of measured reviews are written in languages the game does not support (top: koreana). Localizing is likely immediate market expansion.

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier (Boxleiter method, 20-75x by year). Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/3443620
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when using these estimates.