# Return to Ash

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

- Steam appid: 3445830
- Developer: Serenity Forge
- Released: 2025 · Genre: Adventure · List price: $5.99
- Deal grade: D (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $208 to $311 per month (mid $259)
- Opportunity score: $259/month at x1.00 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 4.1k · Est. lifetime net revenue: $8.2k
- Review sentiment: 99% positive across 141 reviews (127 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 5.2 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- Developer active, last post 11 months ago
- Studio active elsewhere (4 titles tracked), so this one may welcome a partner
- Last build shipped 11 months ago
- Store page localized in only 3 language(s)

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $471 |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $410 |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $371 |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $259 |

## Monthly review counts, oldest to newest (13 months)

39, 11, 8, 9, 10, 9, 10, 6, 3, 9, 6, 3, 4

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier (Boxleiter method, 20-75x by year). Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/3445830
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when using these estimates.