# Red Light

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

- Steam appid: 3486770
- Developer: LampDog Studio
- Released: 2025 · Genre: Action · List price: $4.99
- Deal grade: D (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $78 to $117 per month (mid $98)
- Opportunity score: $98/month at x1.00 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 1.5k · Est. lifetime net revenue: $2.5k
- Review sentiment: 62% positive across 53 reviews (47 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 2.3 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- Developer active, last post 4 months ago
- Studio active elsewhere (2 titles tracked), so this one may welcome a partner
- Last build shipped 4 months ago
- Last discounted 1 months ago, 11 sales in the last 12 months

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $177 |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $154 |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $140 |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $98 |

## Monthly review counts, oldest to newest (14 months)

11, 5, 4, 3, 3, 1, 3, 1, 4, 4, 1, 2, 2, 1

## Missed seasonal-sale revenue (modeled)

Skipped 2 Steam seasonal sale window(s) in the last 14 months. Running a -50% discount in those windows is modeled at +$335 net in total, assuming a unit uplift of x3.0 (industry-typical for old catalog titles). Same ±30-50% error range applies.

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier (Boxleiter method, 20-75x by year). Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/3486770
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when using these estimates.