# Ire: A Prologue

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

- Steam appid: 3547420
- Developer: ProbablyMonsters
- Released: 2025 · Genre: Action · List price: $19.99
- Deal grade: D (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $670 to $1.0k per month (mid $838)
- Opportunity score: $838/month at x1.00 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 2.4k · Est. lifetime net revenue: $16.1k
- Review sentiment: 63% positive across 81 reviews (75 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 5.0 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- Developer active, last post 5 months ago
- Studio active elsewhere (2 titles tracked), so this one may welcome a partner
- Last build shipped 7 months ago
- Store page localized in only 1 language(s)
- Last discounted 1 months ago, 4 sales in the last 12 months

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $1.5k |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $1.3k |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $1.2k |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $838 |

## Monthly review counts, oldest to newest (8 months)

27, 14, 15, 2, 4, 3, 2, 4

## Missed seasonal-sale revenue (modeled)

Skipped 3 Steam seasonal sale window(s) in the last 8 months. Running a -50% discount in those windows is modeled at +$3.6k net in total, assuming a unit uplift of x3.0 (industry-typical for old catalog titles). Same ±30-50% error range applies.

## Markets by review language

- japanese: 1% (game NOT localized in this language)
- schinese: 7% (game NOT localized in this language)
- brazilian: 1% (game NOT localized in this language)
- german: 4% (game NOT localized in this language)
- english: 79% (game NOT localized in this language)
- russian: 7% (game NOT localized in this language)

Localization gap: 100% of measured reviews are written in languages the game does not support (top: english). Localizing is likely immediate market expansion.

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier (Boxleiter method, 20-75x by year). Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/3547420
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when using these estimates.