# Football Manager 26

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

- Steam appid: 3551340
- Developer: Sports Interactive
- Publisher: SEGA
- Released: 2025 · Genre: Simulation · List price: $59.99
- Deal grade: C (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $299.9k to $449.8k per month (mid $374.8k)
- Opportunity score: $374.8k/month at x1.00 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 665.1k · Est. lifetime net revenue: $13.4M
- Review sentiment: 35% positive across 35242 reviews (20785 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 745.3 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- Developer active, last post 0 months ago
- Studio active elsewhere (2 titles tracked), so this one may welcome a partner
- Last build shipped 2 months ago
- 41% of reviews come from key activations (excluded from revenue estimates)
- Last discounted 0 months ago, 7 sales in the last 12 months

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $680.4k |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $592.0k |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $535.7k |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $374.8k |

## Monthly review counts, oldest to newest (9 months)

13821, 1799, 943, 1007, 955, 618, 588, 781, 523

## Missed seasonal-sale revenue (modeled)

Skipped 3 Steam seasonal sale window(s) in the last 9 months. Running a -50% discount in those windows is modeled at +$4.2M net in total, assuming a unit uplift of x3.0 (industry-typical for old catalog titles). Same ±30-50% error range applies.

## Markets by review language

- english: 58%
- koreana: 8%
- russian: 3%
- japanese: 1%
- schinese: 14%
- french: 7%
- german: 5%
- spanish: 4%
- brazilian: 1% (game NOT localized in this language)

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier (Boxleiter method, 20-75x by year). Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/3551340
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when using these estimates.