# The Horde Wants You Dead

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

- Steam appid: 3552820
- Developer: Bellyflop Games
- Released: 2025 · Genre: Action · List price: $9.99
- Deal grade: D (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $502 to $754 per month (mid $628)
- Opportunity score: $628/month at x1.00 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 8.4k · Est. lifetime net revenue: $28.3k
- Review sentiment: 65% positive across 283 reviews (264 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 7.5 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- Developer active, last post 7 months ago
- Last build shipped 7 months ago
- Store page localized in only 1 language(s)

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $1.1k |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $992 |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $898 |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $628 |

## Monthly review counts, oldest to newest (10 months)

114, 69, 20, 17, 9, 8, 5, 5, 11, 7

## Markets by review language

- english: 82%
- koreana: 0% (game NOT localized in this language)
- russian: 3% (game NOT localized in this language)
- spanish: 2% (game NOT localized in this language)
- schinese: 0% (game NOT localized in this language)
- brazilian: 1% (game NOT localized in this language)
- french: 4% (game NOT localized in this language)
- german: 7% (game NOT localized in this language)

Localization gap: 18% of measured reviews are written in languages the game does not support (top: german). Localizing is likely immediate market expansion.

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier (Boxleiter method, 20-75x by year). Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/3552820
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when using these estimates.