# Bogos Binted?

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

- Steam appid: 3588490
- Developer: underbadger
- Publisher: GameDev.ist
- Released: 2026 · Genre: Casual · List price: $5.49
- Deal grade: C (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $2.3k to $3.5k per month (mid $2.9k)
- Opportunity score: $2.9k/month at x1.00 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 35.3k · Est. lifetime net revenue: $65.0k
- Review sentiment: 92% positive across 1387 reviews (1104 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 62.8 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- Developer active, last post 2 months ago
- Last build shipped 3 months ago
- Last discounted 0 months ago, 11 sales in the last 12 months
- Proven demand elasticity: x1.4 review velocity during past deep sales

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $5.2k |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $4.6k |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $4.1k |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $2.9k |

## Monthly review counts, oldest to newest (13 months)

173, 78, 30, 35, 105, 33, 275, 170, 55, 31, 55, 34, 32

## Markets by review language

- japanese: 1%
- schinese: 2%
- brazilian: 2% (game NOT localized in this language)
- english: 71%
- russian: 10%
- french: 1%
- german: 4%
- koreana: 3%
- spanish: 5%

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier (Boxleiter method, 20-75x by year). Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/3588490
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when using these estimates.
