# DIVE or DIE - Children of Rain

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

- Steam appid: 3590290
- Developer: Drop Rate Studio
- Publisher: Dear Villagers
- Released: 2026 · Genre: Action · List price: $17.99
- Deal grade: C (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $100.3k to $150.4k per month (mid $125.3k)
- Opportunity score: $125.3k/month at x1.00 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 35.2k · Est. lifetime net revenue: $212.5k
- Review sentiment: 92% positive across 1205 reviews (1101 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 831.0 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- Developer active, last post 0 months ago
- Studio active elsewhere (2 titles tracked), so this one may welcome a partner
- Last build shipped 0 months ago
- Last discounted 1 months ago, 1 sales in the last 12 months

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $227.5k |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $197.9k |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $179.1k |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $125.3k |

## Monthly review counts, oldest to newest (1 months)

831

## Markets by review language

- spanish: 6%
- japanese: 2%
- french: 4%
- german: 4%
- english: 52%
- schinese: 15%
- brazilian: 3%
- koreana: 3% (game NOT localized in this language)
- russian: 11%

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier (Boxleiter method, 20-75x by year). Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/3590290
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when using these estimates.
