# STRAY GIRL 🔞

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

- Steam appid: 3626750
- Developer: Carnality INC
- Publisher: Taboo Tales 💘
- Released: 2025 · Genre: Casual · List price: $9.99
- Deal grade: B (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $223 to $335 per month (mid $279)
- Opportunity score: $377/month at x1.35 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 5.8k · Est. lifetime net revenue: $19.3k
- Review sentiment: 81% positive across 189 reviews (180 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 3.3 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- Developer silent for 15 months
- Studio active elsewhere (9 titles tracked), so this one may welcome a partner
- Last build shipped 15 months ago
- Last discounted 0 months ago, 10 sales in the last 12 months

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $507 |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $441 |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $399 |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $279 |

## Monthly review counts, oldest to newest (14 months)

126, 10, 3, 9, 5, 2, 8, 3, 5, 3, 3, 2, 2, 5

## Estimated acquisition range

$6.7k to $13.4k (2-4x the trailing net annuity of $3.3k/year). Same error range applies.

## Markets by review language

- spanish: 2%
- schinese: 1%
- brazilian: 1%
- french: 3%
- german: 2%
- english: 70%
- koreana: 2%
- russian: 20%

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier (Boxleiter method, 20-75x by year). Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/3626750
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when using these estimates.